Day: August 26, 2012

This week’s peace picks

1. Indonesia’s Performance and Prospects, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Tuesday August 28, 12:00pm-2:00pm

Venue: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace , 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036

Indonesia—the fourth most populous nation on earth and the world’s largest Muslim country—is a vibrant, decentralized democracy that has enjoyed rapid and resilient economic growth. What explains this success and will it continue? What impact, if any, will the 2014 presidential elections have on the country’s political and economic direction?

James Castle and William Wallace will join Carnegie’s Vikram Nehru to discuss Indonesia’s political and economic performance, as well as its prospects and challenges.

RSVP for this event here

 

2.  Turkey’s Partnership for Security: The Next Phase, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, Tuesday August 28, 12:00pm-2:00pm

Venue: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, 901 N. Stuart Street, Suite 200, Arlington, VA 22203

The Potomac Institute for Policy Studies’ International Center for Terrorism Studies will host a panel discussion, “Turkey’s Partnership for Security: The Next Phase,” from 12 noon – 2 pm on Tuesday, August 28, at the Institute. Co-sponsors of this event include the Inter-University Center for Terrorism Studies and the Inter-University Center for Legal Studies of the International Law Institute. Attendance is by registration only; please see below for details.
Program:

Moderator:
Prof. Yonah Alexander 
Director, International Center for Terrorism Studies, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies
Panelists:
Prof. Sinan Ciddi 
Executive Director, Institute for Turkish Studies, Georgetown University
Dr. Harold Rhode 
Former Specialist for Middle Eastern Affairs, Office of Net Assessment, Pentagon
Additional panelists TBA
Closing Remarks:
Prof. Don Wallace, Jr. 
Chairman, International Law Institute

Registration is required for general audience and press attendance. Please provide name and affiliation to Evan Lundh, Research Coordinator, icts@potomacinstitute.org or 703-562-4522.

 

3.  Reality vs. Myth: What it’s Like to Live and Work in Post-Conflict Settings, Young Professionals in Foreign Policy, Tuesday August 28, 6:30pm-8:30pm

Venue: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1800 K Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20006

Featuring:

Doug Brooks, Preisdent
The founder of the International Stability Operations Association, he is a specialist in African security issues and has written extensively on the regulation and constructive utilization of the private sector for international stabilization, peacekeeping, and humanitarian missions.

Jessica Mueller , Director, Programs & Operations
Editor-in-Chief, Stability Operations Magazine
As part of the leadership team at ISOA, Jessica is responsible for managing the Association’s programs and operations including communications, advocacy efforts, events, member committees and standards. As the Editor-in-Chief of the Stability Operations Magazine, she is responsible for content, design and distribution.

Jason Kennedy, Manager, Membership & Business Development
Jason works on the ISOA leadership team to oversee member services, develop membership, and coordinate opportunites for members, potential members and strategic partners to engage with the Association and the stability operations industry. His responsibilities span membership, business development, marketing/communications and partnership building.

Naveed Bandali, Business Development Manager for the Pax Mondial Group
Naveed Bandali is Business Development Manager for the Pax Mondial Group, an international operational support and capacity building firm that specializes in risk management, construction, medical services, and mine action & training services.

RSVP for this event here

 

4. Inside Iran’s Nuclear Program, Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Wednesday, August 29, 12:00-2:00pm

Venue: Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 1828 L Street NW Suite 1050, Washington, D.C. 20036Stern Library and Conference Room

At a time when the possibility of military action against Iran’s nuclear program is being hotly debated, a clear understanding of what Tehran can do and what it may be hiding is vital. To better inform this discussion, The Washington Institute and the Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University are copublishing a detailed, comprehensive, and interactive online glossary of terms related to Iran’s nuclear program and possible weaponization work. The new study, to be released this week, comes out just when the International Atomic Energy Agency is distributing its latest report on Iran in advance of the September 10 IAEA Board of Governors meeting in Vienna.

To discuss the new publication and the latest news on Iran’s nuclear activities, The Washington Institute will host a Policy Forum luncheon with the authors, Olli Heinonen and Simon Henderson.

Olli Heinonen, a senior fellow at the Belfer Center, previously served as deputy director-general and head of the Department of Safeguards at the IAEA, inspecting nuclear facilities in Iran and other countries.

Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Gulf and Energy Policy Program at The Washington Institute. He has lived in both Pakistan and Iran and has written extensively on nuclear proliferation.

The event will be broadcast via livestream starting at 12:30pm here

RSVP for this event here

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America should not play Asad’s game

David Rohde asks “Is Syria America’s Responsibility?”  But he never really answers that question, which is a good one.  Instead he answers another one:

We must embrace Syrian moderates and openly declare them our allies. Whether or not we should provide them with military aid is a separate debate. But if we are going to provide non-lethal aid we should do so wholeheartedly. We cannot say America is behind you — secretly.

Of course we can and have often said America is behind you secretly.  The fundamental problem is not secrecy, it is whom to assist and how.   There is a military opposition and a civilian one.  I’d rather we pumped non-lethal support into the civilians, Islamist or not.  They are organizing upwards of 100 peaceful demonstrations (often more than 150) each day in Syria.  The military effort is scaring Allawites, Christians and others into supporting the regime.  The day they go out into the streets to demonstrate–which they will not do so long as the Free Syria Army is attacking–is the day Bashar will be forced from power.

But let’s be clear:  Syria is not America’s responsibility.  What is happening there is Bashar al Asad’s responsibility.  The “responsibility to protect” is in the first instance Syria’s.  Russia and Iran, as Syria’s prime military allies, are also responsible for what is becoming an effort to frighten Syrians into submission through random, but sectarian, killing.  This technique was used in Saddam Hussein’s Iraq to establish the “republic of fear.”

I doubt it will work in Syria, because too many people have already lost their fear.  But let’s be clear:  there is a lot to be afraid of, as events in the past couple of days at Daraya, a community near Damascus, testify.  Upwards of 200 people appear to have been murdered by regime forces.  Don’t click on this video if you are even remotely squeamish:

It is of course difficult to suggest that people subjected to this treatment should not respond by defending themselves.  They certainly have every right to do so.  But it is not clear that revolutionary violence will win the day over a regime that is armed to the teeth and ready to kill.  It is for Syrians to decide what the best strategy is.  But those of us concerned to see the revolution come out on top and Syria eventually evolve into a democracy are rightly concerned when we see priority given to military assistance.

Revolution and war are political struggles.  Empowering those who will take Syria in a democratic direction is what America should worry about.  Those are the civilian activists, who risk being pushed aside because Bashar al Asad prefers a military fight he thinks he can win.  We should not be trapped into playing his game.

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