Tag: Ukraine

Stevenson’s army, April 15

India’s population is now greater than China’s, but there’s more to the story.

– Arab nations are warming to Syria.

– US intelligence saw 4 more Chinese balloons

– Reports also say Taiwan is vulnerable

-China promises no arms to either side in Ukraine.

-Discord leaker: Fred Kaplan wonders about his access.

– Read the affadavit revealing probable cause.

Background from Bellingcat.

– Tom Friedman doesn’t want anti-China feeling to go too far.

– Max Hastings reminds that Churchill wanted to keep fighting Moscow.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 13

I had planned, in next week’s class on the media, to say that most US leaks on foreign policy come from 3 sources: [1] administration officials launching trial balloons; [2] losers in the interagency fights who want to rally opponents; and [3] whistleblowers who want to expose some terrible government activities. According to WaPo, however, the leaker of recent highly classified documents was a 4th type — the Showoff who wants to demonstrate his inside knowledge. WaPo has tracked down the leaker, who seems to be a youg man in his 20s, working on a military base, who is an enthusiast about guns and gaming. No other apparent agenda.

Other reports based on the leaks say: Ukraine war is headed for stalemate.

– There’s lots of infighting among Russian officials.

Serbia denies sending arms to Ukraine.

– Politico explains why the leaks went undetected for so long.

-NYT explains why Brazil won’t help Ukraine.

SAIS prof Cancian analyzes the service wish lists.

Atlantic Council has expert report on defense innovation. Document here.

NYT notes unrestrained behavior when strong partisan control of state legislatures.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 12

– NY magazine has a summary.

–  WSJ reports on Hungary.

– Guardian traces sources.

– Reuters says Iran shipped weapons via Syria relief flights.

– Guardian says UK special forces are in Ukraine.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 11

– Politico reports on the GOP push to attack Mexico.

– Politico profiles Elbridge Colby, the anti-neocon.

-Economist sees US-China competition in Indian Ocean

– Blowback from intell leaks: South Korea. Lots of places.

– WaPo says Egypt planned to sell arms to Russia

-Amy Zegart assesses US intelligence challenges.

Bloomberg opinion is behind a paywall, but look at these recent points.

Let Bloomberg Opinion columnist Minxin Pei — with assistance from Bloomberg’s editorial board — calibrate your concerns. The perception of China’s increasing power tends to exceed the reality of it. Here are five reasons that is true.

  1. China’s military strength is overhyped: “For all its talk about the decline of the West and rise of the East, China remains a significantly weaker power than the US on practically all fronts. What China sees as unfair practices — including US surveillance operations in international airspace and waters near the Chinese coast — are merely a manifestation of the exercise of US power in its rivalry with a weaker adversary.”
  2. On top of that, Minxin says, China talks a big game on national ambitions but can’t follow through: “In case after case, leaders in Beijing have identified top national priorities and lavished them with support. And time after time, this ‘whole-of-nation’ effort, meant to mobilize the talent and resources of a giant country, has led only to waste, graft and failure.”
  3. Bloomberg’s editorial board says Washington frets about China’s financial leverage over the US, but that’s also overhyped: “Less than 2% of US foreign direct investment is held in China, and US venture-capital companies have invested only about $60 billion in Chinese startups since 2010, compared with $1.3 trillion in the US.”
  4. The China-Russia alliance is also less than it seems, Minxin writes, adding that influence doesn’t equal leverage: “The meagerness of the economic deals signed during Xi Jingping’s visit to Moscow — which glaringly omitted the second gas pipeline from Russia to China — indicates that China is not ready to go all in, at least for now. This portends trouble” for any alliance between the two nations.
  5. And the Saudi deal was significant, but the US remains firmly in control: “Those lamenting America’s apparent loss of influence in the Middle East should know that this is one of the costs of focusing US attention and resources on the competition with China — and it’s one the US can afford to pay.”

Bonus China Reading:

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 10

It’s all about leaks:

Summary by NYT

Investigations by WSJ

– WaPo on spying on allies

-Ukrainian air defenses in danger, by NYT

Dan Drezner isn’t surprised

– Peter Baker compares leaks.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 7

– NYT reports deep conflict among House GOP, with mutual charges of incompetence.

Rigged election in Montana: GOP legislature wants one-time jungle primary to prevent Tester reelection.

– Jeff Greenfield foresees supermajority power grabs.

– Defense News reports authorizer/appropriator clash over Taiwan aid.

-Risa Brooks analyzes anti-woke campaign against Pentagon.

– Somebody leaked Ukraine arms information.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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