Tag: Germany

Stevenson’s army, September 17

Today is the anniversary of the signing of the Constitution in Philadelphia in 1787.
Germany is offering the US a Nordstream2 deal.
Reuters first reported planned US sarms sales to Taiwan, now WSJ has more details.
RealClearDefense has more on nuclear weapons modernization — a topic in next week’s exercise.
NYT says Africom wants to expand US drone operations into Kenya.
WaPo reports reduced US journalist presence in China.
DNI now agrees to election briefings.
Vast KGB files declassified.
Brown study documents increased militarization of US police.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, August

– Former Ambassador to Russia McFaul says President Xi is not a Stalin.
Nominee as Ambassador to Germany is anti-Jewish and worse.
Iran policy on hold with Hook’s departure.
– Take note: what Flournoy would do as SecDef.
– You probably have to access this piece through the SAIS library or similar site, but I urge you to read David Gompert’s article in the new Survival [from IISS] “Spin-on: How the US Can Meet China’s Technological Challenge.”  I have long valued Gompert’s analyses of defense issues and agree the US needs to boost government R&D in key areas to match China. He has the numbers and the suggestions.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Biden will have his hands full

Time for a summer update on President Trump’s diplomatic initiatives, more or less in his priority order:

  1. Trade with China: importing less than half of what is called for in the “first phase” agreement.
  2. Re-initiating nuclear talks with Iran: Trump said more than a year ago he would talk with no pre-conditions. Tehran won’t, despite “maximum pressure.” Iran wants sanctions eased first.
  3. Getting rid of North Korea’s nuclear weapons: Kim Jong-un has in effect said “no.”
  4. Ending the war in Afghanistan: The withdrawal is proceeding, but progress in intra-Afghan talks is minimal.
  5. Removal of Venezuelan President Maduro: He has weathered the challenge and remains firmly in power.
  6. South China Sea: The US has rejected China’s sovereignty claim but is doing nothing about its military outposts.
  7. Helping Ukraine force the Russians out of Donbas: The Administration has provided lethal weapons to no avail.
  8. Reducing Saudi oil production to jack up world prices: Saudi production is down, but world prices are still in a trough.
  9. Initiating a democratic transition in Syria: Congress has beefed up sanctions, but Trump can’t even begin to get Assad out.
  10. “Deal of the century”: Not going anywhere but into the shredder. Even Israeli annexation of part of the West Bank is blocked.

This skips a lot. For example:

  • the President telling Chinese President Xi that it was fine to put (Muslim) Uighurs into concentration camps,
  • withdrawing from the Paris Climate accord, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and several favorable arms control agreements with Russia,
  • moving US troops out of Germany to the delight of Moscow,
  • failing to counter Russian bounties for Taliban who kill US soldiers in Afghanistan,
  • saying the right things about Hong Kong and withdrawing its trade preferences, but with not discernible impact,
  • not responding to foreign initiatives to undermine the US elections, and
  • withdrawing from the World Health Organization in the midst of a pandemic.

American foreign policy has rarely been so ineffectual, never mind whether the priorities are right. The Administration doesn’t think past its own next move. The President is incapable of it and won’t let others do it for him. He behaves as if the adversary has no options. Much of what the Administration does is for show, without considering however how most of the rest of the world sees the situation. The only customers for this foreign policy are the domestic audience of China hawks, Russia doves, oil and coal producers, and evangelical Christians, along with President Putin, Prime Minister Netanyahu and a few other would-be autocrats around the world.

Getting out of the foreign policy hole Trump has dug will be a big challenge. President Biden, if there ever is one, will have his hands full even if he pays attention only to the first three of the items above. Let’s hope he can somehow save us from the consequences of four dreadful years.

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Stevenson’s army, July 28

– House Democrats target SecState Pompeo for leadership failures at State.
– Richard Haass of CFR blasts his China speech.
-Trump wants top send “renegade colonel” to Germany.
-Meanwhile, ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
– I have a piece in National Interest on the militarization of American foreign policy, including the effect of the NDAA.
-Adam Tooze reviews several books on China and the new world order
-Lawfare has a good piece explaining the congressional notification process for arms sales.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, July 17

– An Obama NSC staffer criticizes the new DNI.
– A Brookings Fellow critiques the new defense space strategy.
– AG Barr hits US companies for “appeasement” of China.
– Several reports question Merkel’s friendliness toward China.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, June 24 and 23

[Forgive the delay. I’ve started reading John Bolton’s memoir. I buy all the memoirs of senior officials and even have personally autographed volumes by Eisenhower’s Robert Cutler, JFK’s McGeorge Bundy, and Brent Scowcroft.]
Pay to play: WSJ says Chinese nationals have paid a lot to get close to Trump and his people.
Politico lists several foreign leaders seeking Trump favors while he’s still president.
WSJ says Germany is caught between US and China.
I can’t believe this Tata guy.
WH has a new official Arctic policy. Read it before it melts.

I missed posting yesterday’s Stevenson’s army, so htere it is:

– NYT explains how Administration is divided over Israeli annexation.
– CIA is recruiting, including on Hulu.
– Foreign Affairs tells of US efforts to interfere in foreign elections

– New Yorker has profile of Fiona Hill.
– Lawfare writer notes similarities between debates on counterinsurgency and community policing.
– FP sees China reaching across Pacific into Kiribati election. [remember, pronounced kiribas]
– Congress wants to realign missile defense agency chain of command

I don’t know what to say about this. It’s a dumb and futile ideas to try to involve China in US-Russian nuclear talks [the headline would be: Trump tries to force China to greatly increase its nuclear arsenal against US”], yet I see the photo op as clever messaging for a bad policy.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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