Tag: Syria

Peace Picks April 29-May 3

Too many good events in DC this week: 

1. The Media & Iran’s Nuclear Program: An analysis of US and UK coverage, 2009-2012, Monday, April 29 / 9:00am – 10:30am, Woodrow Wilson Center

Venue: Woodrow Wilson Center 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 20004 5th Floor Conference Room

Speakers: Jonas Siegel, Saranaz Barforoush, John Steinbruner, Susan Moeller, Reza Marashi, Walter Pincus

How does news coverage of Iran’s nuclear program affect public understanding and policy outcomes? News media traditionally play an important role in communicating about foreign policy is this the case with coverage of Irans nuclear program? How specifically are news media framing the relevant issues? To answer these questions, researchers from the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland (CISSM) undertook a topical analysis of English-language newspaper coverage from 2009 through 2012, a period in which there was considerable public discussion about how the United States and others could and should resolve the dispute.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/rsvp?eid=27221&pid=112)

2. Iran-Azerbaijan Relations and Strategic Competition in the Caucasus, Monday, April 29 / 9:00am – 11:30am, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Venue: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1800 K Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20006 Basement Level Conference Rooms A & B

Speakers: Andrew C. Kuchins, Farhad Mammadov, Asim Mollazade, Heydar Mirza, Alex Vatanka, Sergey Markedonov and more

Despite common cultural and religious heritage, relations between Iran and Azerbaijan remain tumultuous. Issues ranging from the status Iran’s ethnic Azeri minority to the frozen conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh to relations with Israel all complicate bilateral ties between Baku and Tehran. Iran-Azerbaijan relations also shape larger geopolitical questions related to the strategic balance in the Caucasus and the role of major regional powers Turkey and Russia. With tensions over Iran’s nuclear program again in the spotlight, the CSIS Russia and Eurasia Program is hosting a discussion about the current dynamics of Iran-Azerbaijan relations and their regional and international implications.

Register for the event here:
(http://csis.org/event/iran-azerbaijan-relations-and-strategic-competition-caucasus)

3. Why the United States Should Err on the Side of Too Many (Not Too Few) Nuclear Weapons, Monday, April 29 / 12:00pm – 1:30pm, Elliott School of International Affairs

Venue: Elliott School of International Affairs, 1957 E Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20052 Lindner Family Commons

Speakers: Matt Kroenig, Assistant Professor of Government, Georgetown University

Enthusiasm for nuclear reductions is driven by three beliefs about arsenal size widely held by experts in Washington: First, a secure, second-strike capability is sufficient for deterrence and nuclear warheads in excess of this requirement can be cut with little loss to our national security. Second, proliferation to rogue states and terrorist networks is a greater threat than nuclear war with great powers, and reductions can advance our nonproliferation objectives in Iran and elsewhere. Third, we have spent hundreds of billions of dollars on nuclear weapons since 1945 and, in a time of budget austerity, reductions will result in cost savings. There is just one problem: all three beliefs are incorrect. A more pragmatic assessment suggests that the United States should not engage in additional nuclear reductions and should instead make the necessary investments to maintain a robust nuclear infrastructure for decades to come.

Register for the event here:
(https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dDYwNmFlbk41QjZlZ1pySHUxNklHZFE6MA#gid=0)

4. Political Islam and the Struggle for Democracy in Egypt, Monday, April 29 / 6:30pm – 8:00pm, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies

Venue: Johns Hopkins SAIS – Bernstein-Offit Building 1717 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. Room 500

Speakers: Michele Dunne, Nathan Brown

During this panel, our participant speakers will discuss the political situation in Egypt two years after the revolution. They will consider the results achieved, met and unmet objectives, and political reforms enacted since the spring of 2010. Furthermore, they will indicate the roles of the Muslim Brotherhood as a ruling party and President Morsi. They will discuss the recent happenings and unrest in Egypt and future scenarios.

RSVP to:
menaclub.sais@gmail.com

5.  The Bread Revolutions of 2011 and the Political Economies of Transition, Tuesday April 30/ 10:00am – 11:30am, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

Venue: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars-1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 200046th Floor Flom Auditorium

Speakers: Pete Moore, Holger Albrecht, Haleh Esfandiari

The Middle East Program at the Woodrow Wilson Center and the United States Institute of Peace Present The Bread Revolutions of 2011 and the Political Economies of Transition. During the 2011 uprisings, Arab protestors channeled decades of discontent with failed economic policy. However, the demise of leaders will not be enough to answer this discontent nor ensure productive development. Scholarship on the political determinates of economic development finds that the common recipe of expanding the private sector and increasing trade openness may be valuable, but alone are not sufficient for successful development. The Arab World’s economic path to 2011 included implementation in these areas, yet reform in underlying socio-economic structures and interests lagged. Addressing these conditions constitutes one of the most serious challenges facing Arab economies and politics.

This event will be the fourth in a series of five papers and presentations on “Reshaping the Strategic Culture of the Middle East.

Website: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/the…

6. The Imperatives of the Inter-Religious Dialogue in Nigeria, Tuesday April 30/ 2:00pm-3:30pm,  Woodrow Wilson Center for Scholars

Venue: Woodrow Wilson Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 20004

Speakers: H.E. Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi, Sa’Adu Abubakar, John Onaiyekan

This dialogue seeks to ascertain the true nature and scope of religious tensions in Nigeria, as well as elaborate possible ways forward.

The Wilson Center’s Africa Program continues to monitor Nigeria’s progress and welcomes the opportunity to hear from a panel of such respected government and religious leaders.

Speakers:

H.E. Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi, Governor of the Rivers State, Nigeria
Sa’adu Abubakar, Sultan of Sokoto and President of the Society for the Victory of Islam
John Onaiyekan, Roman Catholic Cardinal Archbishop of Abuja

Website: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/the…

7. Ten Years After Saddam, Tuesday April 30/ 2:00pm-3:00pm, Center for International Media Assistance

Venue: National Endowment for Democracy, 1025 F Street NW, Suite 800, Washington, D.C. 20004

Speakers: Abir Awad, Tim Eaton, Theo Dolan, Shameem Rassam

It is a decade since the U.S.-led coalition troops entered Iraq in March 2003. “The years that have followed have been turbulent for an Iraq riven by divisions and sectarian violence, as elites have battled one another for control,” according to a policy briefing by BBC Media Action, The media of Iraq ten years on: The problems, the progress, the prospects. “It remains a country that is anything but stable and united.” The report, which the panelists will present and discuss, examines one element of Iraq’s journey over the last ten years: that of its media reform. The paper makes the point that while the Iraqi media landscape of 2013 may not be the free, pluralistic, and professional fourth estate that many in the West had envisioned in 2003, it nonetheless has real strengths. Those strengths–as well as weaknesses– reflect the complexity and reality of modern Iraq.

Website: http://cima.ned.org/events/upcoming-e…

8. Future of US Ground Forces Report Roll-out Event, Wednesday May 1 / 9:00am-10:30am, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Venue: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1800 K Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20006

Speakers: David J. Berteau, Nathan Freier, Barry Pavel, James Dubik, Frank Hoffman

The Center for Strategic and International Studies presents the roll-out event for the report

Beyond the Last War: Balancing Ground Forces and Future Challenges Risk in USCENTCOM and USPACOM with introductory remarks by

David J. Berteau
CSIS Senior Vice President and Director, International Security Program

followed by a discussion with

Nathan Freier
Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies

and

Barry Pavel
Director, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, The Atlantic Council

and

Lieutenant General James Dubik
U.S. Army (Ret.), Senior Fellow, Institute for the Study of War

and

Frank Hoffman
Senior Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies,
National Defense University

9. Drones and the Rule of Law and War, Wednesday May 1 / 10:00 am-11:15 am, Bipartisan Policy Center

Venue: Bipartisan policy Center, 1225 I Street, NW Suite 1000, Washington, D.C. 20005

Speakers: John Bellinger, Dafna Linzer, Hina Shamsi, Philip Zelikow

The Bipartisan Policy Center’s (BPC) Homeland Security Project will host a discussion convening legal and policy experts on the rule of law and war to discuss the use of drones and targeted killings. Join us as panelists evaluate issues like the current frameworks regarding the use of drones, the ramifications of a ‘drone court,’ the targeting of U.S. citizens abroad, and whether Congress should examine what these policies mean for the country.

Thomas Kean
Former Governor of New Jersey
Co-chair, 9/11 Commission
Co-chair, BPC Homeland Security Project

John Bellinger
Partner, Arnold & Porter LLP
Former Legal Adviser, U.S. Department of State
Former Legal Adviser, National Security Council

Dafna Linzer
Managing Editor, MSNBC.com
Follow @DafnaLinzer

Hina Shamsi
Director, ACLU’s National Security Project
Follow @HinaShamsi

Philip Zelikow
Associate Dean, University of Virginia’s Graduate School of Arts & Sciences
Former Counselor, U.S. Department of State

John Farmer
Dean, Rutgers School of Law

For viewing purposes, we recommend the latest version of the following browsers: Google Chrome, Safari or Internet Explorer.

Having trouble viewing the webcast player below? Please click here.

If you are experiencing issues, please visit the webcast troubleshooter page here. Conduct a firewall test (see the side menu on the troubleshooter page) if the test video does not play.

Homeland Security Project

Website: http://bipartisanpolicy.org/events/20…

10. Afghanistan after 2014: Regional Impact, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Wednesday May 1/ 2pm-5pm, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.

Venue: Woodrow Wilson Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 20004

Speakers: Noah Coburn, Marlène Laruelle, Simbal Khan

Spotlight on Central Eurasia Series //

This event explores local and regional perspectives on the future of Afghanistan against the backdrop of the planned NATO withdrawal of military forces from the region. The first session focuses on local politics and governance in Afghanistan, and the second session investigates the ways in which Afghanistan’s neighbors have been discussing and planning for the upcoming changes.

This event is free and open to the public but requires event registration. Please RSVP.

Cosponsored by the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute and Asia Program, and the Central Asia Program, George Washington University.

Speakers:

Noah Coburn, Professor, Bennington College, and author, ‘Bazaar Politics: Pottery and Power in an Afghan Market Town’ (2011)
Marlène Laruelle, Research Professor and Director, Central Asia Program, IERES, George Washington University
Simbal Khan, Director, Afghanistan and Central Asia, Institute for Strategic Studies, Islamabad, Pakistan

Website: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/afg…

11. The Strategic Environment in Southern Asia, Wednesday, May 1 / 3:30pm – 5:00pm, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Venue: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036

Speakers: Frederic Grare, C. Raja Mohan, C. Uday Bhaskar

The strategic environment in Southern Asia is rapidly changing. Over the next decade, the United States, China, and India will form a critical strategic triangle while the individual relationships of these three nations with ASEAN, Iran, and Pakistan will have significant regional and global implications. Although globalization will lead to more robust engagement among the major actors, this will inevitably result in dissonances that pose complex challenges in the southern Asian security domain. Please join Uday Bhaskar and C. Raja Mohan as they discuss the critical role of the United States and China in dealing with the delicate strategic framework in South Asia. Carnegie’s Frederic Grare will moderate.

Website: http://carnegieendowment.org/events/?…

12. The Nuclear Security Summit in 2014: Challenges and Opportunities, Thursday, May 2 / 9:00am – 10:30am, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 

Venue: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace , 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036

Speakers: Togzhan Kassenova, Piet De Klerk

Following the Nuclear Security Summits in Washington in 2010 and Seoul in 2012, the Netherlands will host the next summit in The Hague on March 24 and 25, 2014. The summit process, begun in 2010, is a response to growing awareness of the risk that weapons-usable fissile material might be acquired by non-state actors and terrorist groups. It seeks to further the goal of securing all nuclear material worldwide through engagement with key heads of state and international organizations. Please join Ambassador Piet de Klerk for a discussion of the continued importance of nuclear security, how the Summit in The Hague will build on the meetings in Washington and Seoul, challenges for the future, the expectations for 2014 and the Dutch role in this process. Togzhan Kassenova will moderate.

Website: http://carnegieendowment.org/events/?…

13. The Road to Damascus: U.S.-Turkish Cooperation Towards a Post-Assad Syria, Bipartisan Policy Center, Thursday, May 2 / 10:30am – 12:00pm 

Venue: Bipartisan Policy Center, 1225 I Street, NW Suite 1000, Washington, D.C. 20005

Speakers: Mort Abramowitz, Eric S. Edelman, Alan Makovsky

Ridding Syria of President Bashar al-Assad has been the goal of the United States for almost two years. Should this objective be achieved, however, an enormous challenge will still remain: stabilizing and rebuilding Syria in a way that advances U.S. strategic goals and values. However, this will require the cooperation of Turkey—a U.S. ally with keen interests in Syria. Ankara’s interests, however, do not perfectly match Washington’s, posing the challenge for policymakers of finding the right tools to align more closely the two countries’ visions of Syria’s future.

Join BPC as it announces the creation of its Turkey Task Force, co-chaired by former Ambassadors to Turkey Morton Abramowitz and Eric Edelman, and releases a paper on the opportunities and obstacles to U.S.-Turkish cooperation towards a post-Assad Syria.

Read the press release here.

Mort Abramowitz
Co-chair, BPC Turkey Task Force
Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey

Ambassador Eric S. Edelman
Co-chair, BPC Turkey Task Force
Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey

Alan Makovsky
Senior Professional Staff Member, House Foreign Affairs Committee

Paula Dobriansky
Former Under Secretary of State for Democracy and Global Affairs

Press Release

Foreign Policy Project

Website: http://bipartisanpolicy.org/events/20…

14. Africa and The Global Arms Trade Treaty, Thursday, May 2 / 12:00pm – 2:00pm, Institute for Policy Studies,

Venue: Institute for Policy Studies, 1112 16th St. NW, Suite 600, Washington, D.C. 20036 Conference Room

Speakers: Rachel Stohl, Adotei Akwei

Join us for a remarkable panel discussion on the impact and future of the small arms trade in Africa.

Can an Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) help? How can world leaders and national governments both within and without Africa best help leverage the ATT to help deal with existing small arms violence and prevent violence in the future?

Join IPS’ Foreign Policy In Focus for a panel discussion examining the ATT and its implications for Africa with a specific focus on what the ATT is and what it is not, as well as what is next to help the treaty come in to force. Key areas of concern, such as conflict, commission of human rights abuses, the impact of the unauthorized/illicit arms sales on development and security in Africa will also be addressed.

Panelists:

Rachel Stohl, Senior Associate with Managing Across Boundaries initiative, Stimson Center and
Adotei Akwei, Managing Director for Government Relations, Amnesty International

Co-sponsors: Travis Roberts – Founder of Fight Back/Rebuilt campaign, Carl LeVan – IPS Associate Fellow and professor in the School of International Studies at American University, Estelle Bougna Fomeju – Senior at American University and Sciences Po Paris, Intern for IPS’ Foreign Policy in Focus.

Website: http://www.ips-dc.org/events/africa_a…

15. Turkey’s Peace Process, Thursday, May 2 / 3:00pm – 4:30pm, SETA Foundation at Washington DC

Venue: SETA Foundation at Washington, DC1025 Connecticut Avenue Northwest, Suite 1106, Washington, DC 20036

Speakers: Henri Barkey, Erol Cebeci, Kadir Ustun

Resolution of Turkey’s Kurdish question has been the subject of much debate. Today, there is more hope about the prospects of success than ever before with the ongoing peace talks with Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). This latest attempt comes after previous initiatives such as the so-called “Democratic Opening” of 2009 and the following secret talks dubbed the “Oslo Process.” In the wake of heightened stakes in the Middle East, a possible end to PKK violence and resolution of the Kurdish question through democratic means could have dramatic implications for regional security and Turkey’s democratization. What are the possibilities and limits of finally resolving the Kurdish question?

Join us for a discussion with Henri Barkey, professor of international relations at Lehigh University, and Erol Cebeci, executive director of the SETA Foundation at Washington, DC, moderated by Kadir Ustun, research director at the SETA Foundation.

Website: http://setadc.org/events/50-upcoming-…

16. Israel’s Periphery Doctrine: Then and Now, Thursday, May 2 / 3:30pm – 4:30pm, International Institute for Strategic Studies 

Venue: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2121 K Street, NWSuite 801

Speakers: Yossi Alpher

During its first three decades, Israel employed a grand strategy whereby it leapfrogged over the ring of hostile Arab neighboring states and forged partnerships with non-Arab and non-Muslim countries and minorities in the region.  Most well known are Israel’s alliances with Iran and Turkey and its aid to the Iraqi Kurds.  Beginning in the late 1970s, the peace process and the collapse of friendly periphery regimes rendered the doctrine of secondary importance.  Now, with Islamists and even Salafists threatening to surround Israel, is a new periphery strategy viable?

Yossi Alpher
Co-editor, The Bitterlemons Guide to the Arab Peace Initiative

17. The Way of the Knife, Friday, May 3 / 12:00pm – 1:00pm, Center for American Progress 

Venue: Center for American Progress, 1333 H Street NW, 10th Floor, Washington, D.C. 20005

Speakers: Mark Mazzetti, Ken Gude

In his most recent book, Mark Mazzetti argues that the most momentous change in American warfare over the past decade has taken place away from the battlefields of Afghanistan and Iraq in the corners of the world where large armies can’t go. The Way of the Knife is the untold story of that shadow war—a campaign that has blurred the lines between soldiers and spies and lowered the bar for waging war across the globe. The United States has pursued its enemies with armed drones and special operations troops, trained local assets to set up clandestine spying networks, and relied on mercurial dictators, untrustworthy foreign intelligence services, and proxy armies.

Please join us for a discussion with Pulitzer Prize-winning author Mark Mazzetti on his provocative new book.

Copies of The Way of the Knife will be available for purchase.
Featured author:
Mark Mazzetti, author, The Way of the Knife; correspondent, The New York Times

Moderated by:
Ken Gude, Chief of Staff, Vice President, Center for American Progress
A light lunch will be served at 11:30 a.m.

Website: http://www.americanprogress.org/event…

18. Post-2014 Afghanistan: Pakistan’s Concerns, Anxieties and Expectations: A Conversation with Ambassador Sherry Rehman, Friday, May 3 / 5:30pm – 7:00pm, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies

Venue: Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, 1619 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. Rome Auditorium

Speakers: Sherry Rehman

Pakistani Ambassador to the US will speak about post 2014 Afghanistan. Question and answer session to follow Ambassador’s remarks.

19. The Dispensable Nation: American Foreign Policy in Retreat, Friday, May 3 / 7:00pm – 8:00pm, Politics and Prose 

Venue: Politics and Prose, 5015 Connecticut Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20008

Speakers: Vali Nasr

As senior advisor to Richard Holbrooke from 2009 to 2011, Nasr, dean of SAIS and author of The Shia Revival, witnessed both how the Obama administration made its foreign policy and how these decisions played out abroad. His book finds that Obama failed to chart a new course in the Middle East, and warns that the next Arab Spring may be an angry uprising against America.

Website: http://www.politics-prose.com/event/b…

Tags : , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Civilians >> chemical weapons

The “Salon” I did with Stanford’s Lina Khatib yesterday on “Should the U.S. intervene in Syria?” focused mainly on chemical weapons, as all conversations about Syria yesterday did.

Lina, who had published a piece with Larry Diamond on Thursday making the case for military intervention (arms to the rebels plus a no-fly zone but no boots on the ground) in Syria, is concerned not only about chemical weapons use, the evidence for which she regards as “credible,” but about the fertile ground for Islamist extremists and the impact on the region.  The longer the fighting lasts, the worse it gets.

I don’t disagree with any of that.  But it doesn’t matter whether she and I think the evidence of chemical weapons use is credible.  What matters is what the Russians, Chinese, Turks and others think.  If there is going to be serious military intervention in Syria by the United States, it is going to need multilateral cover, preferably a UN Security Council resolution as well as an Arab League request.  The standards the evidence is going to need to meet are high.  The world is in no mood for another Middle East war based on flimsy claims related to weapons of mass destruction.

It is going to take time to assemble the evidence and convince skeptics.  Once we are ready, Peter Juul proposes a reasonable course of action to mobilize the UN Security Council and NATO (for both military action and humanitarian relief).  If that fails, the US will have to consider unilateral action without multilateral cover, but that is a course of action with many drawbacks.

There is also a credibility issue in the other direction:  if the US doesn’t act against Syrian use of chemical weapons, why would the Iranians believe that we would take action against their nuclear program?  This is a serious problem, but it should not drive the timetable.  Being 100% certain, and trying to convince others, is more important than the timing.

That is a cruel thing to say.  Syrians are dying every day.  The average is climbing towards 200 per day, 6000 per month.  The total by now is well over 70,000.  Those are staggering numbers.  Few of them are killed by chemical weapons.  Bombing, Scuds, artillery and small arms fire are much more common:

The targeting of civilians is a war crime, no matter what the weapons used.  Civilians are more important than the weapons that kill them.  The standards of proof are easily met.  The Syrian security forces and their paramilitaries are attacking and killing civilians daily with conventional weapons.

I would like to see the international community act on those grounds, rather than focusing on a limited (and difficult to prove) use of sarin gas.  But this is not the unipolar moment of 1999, when the United States led a NATO intervention in Kosovo without UN Security Council approval.  That is unlikely to happen.  So we are heading down a long road of difficult proof.

Some, like Leila Hilal on Chris Hayes’ show last night, would prefer a negotiated solution.  So would I.  But it is not looking as if Bashar al Assad is hurting badly enough to yield to the transition plans that Russia and the United States agreed in Geneva last June.  The mutually hurting stalemate that would provide the conditions for that will require that the revolutionaries do a bit better than they have managed so far.  More international assistance is going to be needed.

Tags : , , , , , ,

Syria is not just about Syria

Lina Khatib and Larry Diamond have a good piece outlining the case for intervening in Syria over at theatlantic.com.  They want the US to supply the opposition with weapons and to intervene from the air to redress the imbalance in favor of the regime, which is using its air force and Scuds to good advantage in preventing the revolution from consolidating (holding and building in COIN-speak) its control of liberated areas.  Intervention would shorten the conflict and limit the damage to neighboring countries, which are suffering from overflow of both the conflict and refugees.

I buy their argument, but it is incomplete because it does not look at the bigger picture.

President Obama, as he pointed out some weeks ago in an interview, does not regard Syria as isolated from other issues, because it is not.  The most important factors weighing against intervention have little to do with Syria and a lot to do with Russia.

Obama does not want to lose Russian support for the Northern Distribution Network (NDN).  It is vital to US withdrawal from Afghanistan.  Moscow could shut it down, thereby prolonging the American presence in Afghanistan.  That is something the Russians would like because they fear the post-2014 consequences of withdrawal.  Without the NDN, we would again be at the mercy of the Pakistanis for maintaining the pace of the withdrawal.  That is not a good place to be.

The President also does not want to lose support for the P5+1 nuclear talks with Iran. The Russians have not only participated, they have also gone along with the sanctions that give the talks at least some slim hope of success.  Of course they too don’t want Tehran to get nuclear weapons, but they might risk that if we act in Syria without their concurrence.  Risking American prestige in an air war with Syria could also seriously diminish the credibility of any military threat to Iran, which is bleeding money and men in Syria without any risk to Americans.

Obama regards both the withdrawal from Afghanistan and preventing Iran from getting nuclear weapons as higher priorities than ensuring Assad’s downfall.

The President also knows the American people will not be happy with another military intervention in the Middle East.  This is not just because of war weariness, though that is real enough.  Going to war while the sequester constrains the budget would cause serious strain on the Defense Department and likely end up crimping other priorities as well.  If you are an advocate of a strong America, you should want to husband resources after more than a decade of war, not spend them in a place that is suffering mightily but is not a top American national security priority.  An air war in Syria would also necessarily tip off the Syrians (and therefore also the Iranians and maybe also the Russians) to our latest and best technology, giving them a leg up in any future confrontation.

I can think of responses to all these issues, but if you don’t deal with them you haven’t made the case. Syria is not just about Syria.

Tags : , , , , ,

What Syrians want

Here’s what I learned recently from non-Islamist, anti-regime Syrians concerned about transitional justice issues.  The discussion was convened with support from the Public International Law and Policy Group by the Syria Justice and Accountability Centre, with a view to developing a network of Syrian organizations concerned with transitional justice.  The views were not of course unanimous, but I think most would agree with these propositions, which I formulated:

1.  If they are ever caught, Bashar al Asad and other senior regime figures will have to stand trial in Syria, where the death penalty is in force.

Even Syrians who don’t like the death penalty acknowledge that it has to be available in any trial of senior Syrian leaders.  This rules out an international tribunal for the actual trial.  Some would like to see Bashar indicted now inside Syria by a court in a liberated area; others would like to see an international indictment.  Either one would be a warning to senior military commanders that they risk being held accountable for attacks on civilians.

A special tribunal may be needed for the actual trial.  Syrian law lacks provisions on crimes against humanity and war crimes.  This will be a real problem that needs to be fixed.  It is vital that regime files be preserved and not destroyed during the revolution.  The opposition needs to develop a prosecutorial strategy and collect evidence to support it.

For regime perpetrators who escape, some expect arrests and trials in other countries, which could set a good standard for trials inside Syria.

The prosecution of high level officials has to be done in a way that is accepted as legitimate by the entire population, which will require media outreach and perhaps televising of the trials, as was done in Iraq.  There will be a need to protect witnesses, judges and lawyers.  The trials will have to be fair, providing due process and kept insulated from politics.

2.  Syrians do not seek collective responsibility for the crimes committed.  They want the state to continue to function.

They are uninterested in lustration (disqualification of a particular class of people from office or other privilege) even for Ba’ath party higher ups.  They do not intend to make the Ba’ath party illegal, though they expect it to lose its privileges and return state property.

Vetting of individuals officials will need to be done, but Syrians want to preserve the state and reform it rather than collapse it and try to rebuild.  They want local officials to continue to provide essential services like water and electricity, to the extent possible in the midst of the fighting.

3.  Syrians expect reparations.

They are particularly concerned with more immediate humanitarian cases in which a breadwinner has been lost, but they want the society to make people whole, either by monetary compensation for losses or social assistance of other sorts.  Reparation should not only be for the last two years of fighting but also (in nonmonetary as well as monetary forms) for oppression from the start of the Asad regime, which has repressed Kurdish identity and place names, for example.  The place names should be restored and Kurds freed to use their own language.

Reparations should be made available on a nonsectarian and gender-neutral basis.  Funds should come in part from recovery of Asad’s assets but international grants should also be sought.

4.  The revolution has to start setting a good example.

It should begin to administer liberated areas through unique local councils recognized by the interim government, which should provide them with finances to pay salaries and continue to provide services.  These councils should be elected wherever possible, for example in Raqaa.

The local councils should seek, in cooperation with the local armed groups, to reconstitute the police and move the armed groups to the periphery of towns.  This will reduce the incentive for the regime to shell populated areas.  Armed groups in liberated areas should be controlled and financed by the interim ministry of defense. Summary executions and other abuses need to stop.

Safe zones for defectors from the regime should be created.  Sectarian and ethnic discrimination should end.  Identity based on Syrian citizenship should be emphasized.  Civil society should monitor the performance of the interim government, its local councils and the armed groups.

5.  While they oppose retaliation, Syrians are not so interested in reconciliation.

While revenge is not appetizing, resentment of the regime and its Alawite supporters is widespread.  Many would like to see more Alawites distance themselves from the regime, even if they don’t join the revolution.  Syrians are puzzled that Westerners are so concerned with what happens to the Alawites when so many non-Alawites are already suffering grievous harm now.  They find it hard to imagine a reconciliation process, though they are willing to consider establishing a truth commission to investigate abuses and give voice to victims.  They want everyone to be equal before the law.  No groups should be privileged above others.  The society is basically a tolerant one.  Individual rights and equality before the law are the ideals.

Tags :

Boston and Homs

The horror of the Boston marathon bombings is still sinking in, but I imagine that Americans will regard this as an iconic event.  Whoever the perpetrators were, they chose a place and event that are hard to forget.  “Boston marathon” will join “9/11” and “Oklahoma City” as symbols of violence aimed not only at the individuals killed and wounded but at America as a whole.  The evil intent is all too apparent.

Imagine then what Syrians feel as they face 100 or so attacks of this magnitude and greater every day in a country 2.5 times the size of Massachusetts (with a population almost four times as large).  Often random but also targeted at hospitals and bakeries, the attacks are intended to frighten the civilian population in rebel areas and get them to refuse to help, or to expel, the armed groups who are challenging the rule of Bashar al Asad.

I spent an hour or so with a commander of one of those armed groups yesterday.  His first priority was to bring down Asad.  His second was to protect civilians, especially at risk minorities, in his AOR (area of operations), which is near Homs.  The fighting there is particularly fierce on the southern edge of the city, along the road that links Damascus with Tartus and Latakia on the western coast.  A former Syrian army soldier, the commander and his colleagues were appalled at lack of discipline and warlordism among the rebel forces, who are all too often irregulars in every sense of the word.  Freeing kidnap victims, taken for ransom, is becoming one of a rebel commander’s many responsibilities.

It is hard for any of us to imagine the kind of disorder that prevails in Syria.  Something like half a million Syrians have fled Homs, even as others from worse-hit communities pour in.  Those of us who remember the rioting and burning after the murder of Martin Luther King have some idea of how bad things can get, though that was limited to particular neighborhoods and lasted a week or so, not more than two years.  Boston rose quickly to the challenge of many dozens of people injured.  Its trauma centers and doctors are trained and equipped for this kind of disaster.  Syria’s hospitals were less well-equipped and its doctors less well-trained when the rebellion began.  There is little hospital capacity left, though the remaining medical personnel try hard to keep up.

President Obama promised quickly to bring the Boston marathon perpetrators to justice.  As there are unexploded bombs, the police and FBI will have something to work with.  Surveillance video and other routine electronic surveillance may also help.  There is a good chance the perpetrators will be found, though other terrorist bombings teach us that it may be a long while before the full picture is known.

In Syria, the perpetrators are all too well known:  the Syrian army is fighting what its leadership regards as terrorists, even as it targets civilian populations.  This is a war crime, one for which the highest authority in Syria–Bashar al Asad–is all too clearly responsible, in my way of thinking.  Syrians will want to try him, in Syria, if they get the chance.  Even those who oppose the death penalty in principle see no alternative in this case.  A lot of us felt the same way about Timothy McVeigh.

Boston is not Homs.  Homs is not an American responsibility.  Syrians will determine how their revolution ends.  But they need help.  Several years ago on a visit to Vietnam, our driver and guide (both northerners who had been on Ho Chi Minh’s side of the war and suffered American bombing) told us they had given up a day’s pay to contribute to Hurricane Katrina relief.  New Orleans wasn’t their responsibility, for sure.  Call us bleeding hearts, but the gesture brought tears to our eyes.  I’m pleased to learn of the secret American effort to provide humanitarian aid in Syria.  But there is more that needs doing.  If we are not already doing it in secret, we need to consider the proposition again.  Let’s bring tears of gratitude to Syrian eyes.

Tags : ,

Peace Picks: April 15-April 19

Abundant interesting events in a busy week:

1. Tribal Societies & Counterterrorism in Pakistan, Monday April 15/ 11:00am-12:30pm, US Institute of Peace

Venue: Us Institute of Peace 2301 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, D.C.

Speakers: Ambassador Akbar Ahmed, Peter Bergen, Hamid Khan

In recent months discussions around drone strikes have grown increasingly heated with claims and counter-claims around their legality, morality, and/or effectiveness as a counterterrorism weapon. Amid the heated disputes between diplomats, politicians, lawyers, and civil society activists, the views of those most directly affected by the drone strikes – those living in tribal communities in border regions – have yet to be heard.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.usip.org/events/tribal-societies-counterterrorism-in-pakistan)

2. Takedown: Inside the Hunt for Al Qaeda, Monday April 15/ 1:00-2:30pm, New America Foundation

Venue: New America Foundation, 1899 L St., N.W., Suite 400, Washington, D.C. 20036

Speakers: Philip Mudd, Peter Bergen

On September 11, 2001, as Central Intelligence Agency analyst Philip Mudd rushed out of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building next to the White House, he could not anticipate how the terror unleashed that day would change the world of intelligence and his life as a CIA officer. Mudd, now a fellow with the New America Foundation’s National Security Studies Program, would later serve as deputy director of the CIA’s rapidly expanding Counterterrorist Center and then as senior intelligence adviser at the FBI.

Please join the New America Foundation’s National Security Studies for a conversation with Philip Mudd and Peter Bergen about Mudd’s new book, Takedown: Inside the Hunt for Al Qaeda, which provides a first-person account of his role in two organizations that changed dramatically after 9/11. The book also sheds light on the inner workings of the intelligence community during the global counterterror campaign.
Copies of the book will be available for purchase.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.newamerica.net/events/2013/takedown_the_hunt_for_al_qaeda)

3. Afghanistan’s Economic Transition, Monday April 15/ 2:00-3:30pm, US Institute for Peace

Venue: US Institute of Peace, 2301 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, D.C.

Speakers: William Byrd, Borany Pehn, Fatema Sumar, Robert Saum

Afghanistan’s current transition – involving drawdown of international combat troops and hand-over of security responsibilities to Afghan security forces as well as reductions in international aid – is now well into its second year. Along with the security and political dimensions (including the next cycle of presidential and parliamentary elections in 2014 and 2015, respectively), the economic transition is an important factor influencing the success of the overall transition process. The recent publication of the World Bank’s study ‘Transition in Afghanistan: Looking Beyond 2014′ provides an opportunity to review progress, consider key issues, and assess prospects. This event, after a brief presentation and discussants’ comments, is intended to generate an open and frank discussion on economic transition issues and policy options.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.usip.org/events/afghanistans-economic-transition)

4. Author Event: Shadow Lives: The Forgotten Women of the War on Terror, Monday, April 15/ 6:30-8:00pm, Institute for Policy Studies

Venue: Busboys & Poets @ 14th & V, 2021 14th St, NW, Washington, D.C. 20009

Come to a compelling discussion about the unseen side of the ‘9/11 wars,’ as IPS Fellow Phyllis Bennis interviews author Victoria Brittain about her new book, Shadow Lives: The Forgotten Women of the War on Terror. The book reveals the impact the ‘9/11 wars’ has had on the wives and families of men incarcerated in Guantanamo, or in prison or under house arrest in Britain and the US. Brittain shows how these families have been made socially invisible and a convenient scapegoat for the state in order to exercise arbitrary powers under the cover of the ‘War on Terror.’

Her book reveals how a culture of intolerance and cruelty have left individuals at the mercy of the security services’ unverifiable accusations and punitive punishments. Both a ‘j’accuse’ and a testament to the strength and humanity of the families, Shadow Lives shows the methods of incarceration and social control being used by the British state and gives a voice to the families whose lives have been turned upside down. In doing so it raises urgent questions about civil liberties which no one can afford to ignore.

After the discussion there will be the customary book signing by Brittain.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.ips-dc.org/events/author_event_shadow_lives_the_forgotten_women_of_the_war_on_terror)

5. Iran’s Nuclear Program: Assessing the Current State & Debating the Future, Monday April 15 6:30-8:00pm, US-Middle East Youth Network

Venue: Georgetown University, 3700 O St NW, Washington DC, White-Gravenor Hall, Room 208

Speakers: Matthew Kroenig, Colin Kahl, Michael Eisenstadt

As negotiations between Iran and the international community continue, progress towards reaching a resolution regarding Iran’s disputed nuclear program has all but stalled. What are the current prospects for the success of diplomacy? Is a military option viable, sustainable, and/or worse than the alternative, political track? Can the US prevent a preemptive strike by Israel? What ramifications might this have for regional stability and nonproliferation efforts? What might the coming months hold for the conflict surrounding Iran’s nuclear program? Explore these questions and more with Professors Colin Kahl, Matthew Kroenig, and Mr. Michael Eisenstadt from the Washington Institute for Near East Policy this Monday at 6:30pm in WGR208!

For more information see:
(http://usmeyouthnetwork.org/)

6. The Future of Egypt’s Economy, Tuesday April 16 11:30am-1:30pm, Aspen Institute

Venue: Aspen Institute, One Dupont Circle, NW Suite 700

Speakers: Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Hisham Fahmy, Daniel Kurtzer

Surrounded by political uncertainty, the Egyptian economy has experienced a sharp decline over the past two years. While the Egyptian government struggles to maintain macroeconomic stability and international confidence, it faces significant challenges; unemployment continues to increase, and the country’s key sectors have seen a sluggish recovery.

Partners for a New Beginning is organizing a roundtable discussion to address economic challenges as well as opportunities to overcome them. Panelists will address the role of the private sector and international community in driving economic growth in Egypt.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.aspeninstitute.org/events/2013/04/16/future-egypts-economy)

7. Domestic Drivers of Turkey’s Democratic Transformation, Tuesday, April 16 / 12:00pm – 1:30pm, SETA Foundation at Washington DC

Venue: SETA Foundation at Washington, DC, 1025 Connecticut Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20036

Speakers: Sener Akturk, Kadir Ustun

Turkey’s democratization process over the past decade has been the subject of much debate. Many studies identify external dynamics such as Turkey’s EU membership negotiations as main drivers of democratic progress. Internal dynamics that made possible various democratic initiatives, such as the reforms allowing for much broader ethnic, linguistic, and religious minority rights, however, remain underappreciated. As the country seeks to consolidate its democracy through a new civilian constitution, lessons from the past decade will be critical to identify contours of democratic change in Turkey.

On April 16, 2013, the Young Scholars on Turkey (YSOT) Program will host a discussion on the domestic drivers of Turkey’s democratic transformation. The panel will feature Sener Akturk, Assistant Professor at Koc University in Istanbul, author of a new book, Regimes of Ethnicity and Nationhood in Germany, Russia, and Turkey, recently published by Cambridge University Press. Kadir Ustun, Research Director at SETA DC, will moderate the discussion.

Register for the event:
http://setadc.org/events/50-upcoming-events/465-domestic-drivers-of-turkeys-democratic-transformation

8. Innovation and Peacebuilding: Breaking Down Silos and Engaging Civil Society, Tuesday, April 16 / 1:00pm – 4:00pm, US Institute of Peace                 

Venue: US Institute of Peace, 2301 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, D.C.

Speakers: Jan Eliasson, Melanie Greenberg, Jessica Berns, Al Maamoun Baba Lamine Keita, John Agoglia, Paula Gaviria Betancur and more

The U.S. Institute of Peace in partnership with the Alliance for Peacebuilding is pleased to co-sponsor an afternoon of events that will explore innovation in peacebuilding, and provide examples of working across silos to achieve more stable and durable peace.

Jan Eliasson, deputy secretary-general of the United Nations, will open the afternoon with a discussion on the challenges facing the United Nations in Conflict Resolution and Peacebuilding. During his career as one of the world’s top diplomats, Ambassador Eliasson also served as the special envoy of the U.N. Secretary-General for Darfur from 2007-2008. Preceding his work in Darfur, he was foreign minister of Sweden, after serving as Sweden’s ambassador to the U.S. from 2000-2005. His work has focused on mediation missions in the Middle East and Europe, as well as on broader topics such as landmines, humanitarian action, and conflict prevention. Ambassador Eliasson was appointed as the first U.N. undersecretary-general for humanitarian affairs in 1992. He was also a senior visiting scholar at USIP in 2009.

Following the conversation with Ambassador Eliasson and to launch the Alliance for Peacebuilding’s new semi-annual, online publication, Building Peace: A Forum for Peace and Security in the 21st Century, a select group of Building Peace authors will frame a discussion on peacebuilding approaches to the complex conflict in Mali. Drawing on the perspectives shared in their Building Peace articles, these authors will lead a discussion about how peacebuilders can work with local citizens and international actors to address root causes of conflict, and bring security to war-torn societies.

To register for the event click here:
(http://www.eventbrite.com/event/6128655975#)

9. Mobilizing the Diaspora: Opportunities for Engagement in N. Africa, Tuesday, April 16 / 2:00pm – 5:00pm, Aspen Institute

Venue: Aspen Institute, One Dupont Circle, NW, Suite 700, Washington, D.C. 20036

Speakers: Walter Isaacson

This event will feature two roundtable discussions focused on supporting entrepreneur mentorship and education as well as building out access to finance and investment. There will also be an opportunity for networking to allow for diaspora and other US stakeholders interested in the region to connect.

To register for the event click here:
(http://www.aspeninstitute.org/events/2013/04/16/mobilizing-diaspora-opportunities-engagement-n-africa)

10. The Second Arab Awakening: Revolution, Democracy and the Islamist Challenge from Tunis to Damascus, Wednesday, April 17 / 12:00pm – 1:00pm, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

Venue: Woodrow Wilson Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 20004

Speaker: Adeed Dawisha

When, in early 2011, people poured onto the streets of Arab cities to demand freedom, it was not for the first time. An earlier spate of revolutions swept the Arab world in the 1950s and 1960s. Those revolutions that had promised so much bequeathed the recent crop of Arab despots. Dawisha puts the recent Arab awakening into historical context, then traces the progress and fates so far of revolutions from Tunis to Damascus, examining the overthrow of tyrants in some cases and the more brutal repression in others. Finally, he explores the threats and opportunities facing the victorious revolutionaries, the prospects for democratic transformations, and the meaning and consequences of Islamist victories at the polls.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/rsvp?eid=26660&pid=112)

11. Strategic Options for Iran: Balancing Pressure with Diplomacy, Wednesday, April 17 / 12:15pm – 2:00pm, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

Venue: Woodrow Wilson Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, D.C. 20004

Speakers: William Luers, Ambassador James Dobbins, Thomas Pickering, James Walsh, Carla Hills

This event is held in collaboration with The Iran Project.
Former senior national security officials, military officers and experts with decades of Middle East experience have joined to present a balanced report on the strategic options for dealing with Iran. Moving the debate past politics and unexamined assumptions they argue that the time has come for Washington to strengthen the diplomatic track in the two track policy of pressure and diplomacy that has characterized current U.S. policy.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/rsvp?eid=26908)

12. Heaven on Earth: A Journey Through Sharia Law, Wednesday, April 17 / 3:00pm – 4:30pm, Elliott School of International Affairs

Venue: Elliott School of International Affairs, 1957 E Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20052, Lindner Family Commons

Speaker: Sadakat Kadri

Legal historian and human rights attorney Sadakat Kadri argues that many people in the West harbor hazy or wrong ideas about Islamic law. Searching for the facts behind the myths, he traces the turbulent journey of Islam’s foundation and expansion and shows how the Prophet’s teachings evolved gradually into concepts of justice.

Sadakat Kadri is a legal historian and English barrister at the Doughty Street Chambers. In addition to his latest book, he regularly contributes to various publications including The Guardian and the London Review of Books, and is the author of The Trial: A History from Socrates to O.J. Simpson (2005).

A limited number of books will be available for GW students.
The Middle East Policy Forum is presented with the generous support of ExxonMobil.

Register for the event here:
(https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1_PQdoubx4EZmIKR6iED6KwTF-rOLbsJeNGxJwEzqqHM/viewform)

13. Iran: Are We Out of Options?, Wednesday, April 17 / 5:00pm – 7:00pm McCain Institute for International Leadership                  

Venue: U.S. Navy Memorial Burke Theater, 701 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20004

Speakers: Hon. Robert Wexler, Amb. James Dobbins, Danielle Pletka, Amb. Thomas R. Pickering

With the clock ticking and renewed negotiations underway, there is no better time than the present to stop Iran’s nuclear enrichment program. But if diplomatic attempts fail, what then? Analysts give Iran less than 18 months before its nuclear weapons capacity is assured. Successive U.S. Administrations have insisted that the use of military force to disrupt Iran’s nuclear program remains an option. As the clock winds down, are we out of options? Would military force even succeed in stopping Iran? Or would the consequences of military force be worse than a nuclear capable Iran? Hear leading American experts debate U.S. policy on Iran: Are we out of Options? — the third debate in a series at the McCain Institute.

To register for the event click here:
(http://mccaininstitute.org/events/upcoming/mccain-debate-and-decision-series)

14. Balanced Growth and Financial Stability in Turkey’ Thursday, April 18 / 9:00am – 11:00am, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies

Venue: Johns Hopkins SAIS – Nitze Building, 1740 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036, Kenney Auditorium

Speakers: John Lipsky, Erdem Basi

John Lipsky, SAIS distinguished visiting scholar of International Economics and former first managing director of the International Monetary Fund, and Erdem Basi, governor of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, will discuss this topic. Note: Breakfast will be served at 8:30 a.m. SAIS will also host a live webcast available here at the time of the event.

Register for the event here:
(http://lipsky-basci.eventbrite.com/)

15. Drone Warfare in 2030: Examining the Future of Expanding Drone Use, the Precedent that May be Set, and Constitutional Implications Here and Abroad, Thursday, April 18 / 12:00pm – 1:30pm, AU Washington College of Law

Venue: AU Washington College of Law, 4801 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, D.C. 20016, Room602

Speakers: Joshua Foust, Nathan Sales, Stephen Vladeck, Benjamin Wittes

The United States’ expanding use of armed drones has sparked numerous discussions on the legality and ethical desirability of their use. Yet the discussions seem to be merely focusing on the nation’s current practice and less on other states that will surely be deploying the warfare technology in the near future. This panel will aim to shift the current debate on the use of drones by the US to the question of how increased use will impact the laws of war and our constitutional ideals. To what extent can the US serve as a positive example for the international community with regard to using drones or has a precedent already been set?

Register for the event here: (https://www.wcl.american.edu/secle/registration.cfm)

16. Towards an Islamic Enlightenment: The Gulen Movement, Thursday, April 18 / 6:30pm – 8:30pm, Rumi Forum

Venue: Rumi Forum, 1150 17th St. N.W., Suite 408, Washington, D.C. 20036

Speaker: M. Hakan Yavuz

M. Hakan Yavuz offers an insightful and wide-ranging study of the Gulen Movement, one of the most imaginative developments in contemporary Islam. Founded in Turkey by the Muslim thinker Fethullah Gulen, the Gulen Movement aims to disseminate a ”moderate” interpretation of Islam through faith-based education. Its activities have fundamentally altered religious and political discourse in Turkey in recent decades, and its schools and other institutions have been established throughout Central Asia and the Balkans, as well as western Europe and North America. Consequently, its goals and modus operandi have come under increasing scrutiny around the world.

Yavuz introduces readers to the movement, its leader, its philosophies, and its practical applications. After recounting Gulen’s personal history, he analyzes Gulen’s theological outlook, the structure of the movement, its educational premise and promise, its financial structure, and its contributions (particularly to debates in the Turkish public sphere), its scientific outlook, and its role in interfaith dialogue. Towards an Islamic Enlightenment shows the many facets of the movement, arguing that it is marked by an identity paradox: despite its tremendous contribution to the introduction of a moderate, peaceful, and modern Islamic outlook-so different from the Iranian or Saudi forms of radical and political Islam-the Gulen Movement is at once liberal and communitarian, provoking both hope and fear in its works and influence.

Register for the event here:
(http://www.rumiforum.org/component/option,com_dtregister/Itemid,135/eventId,144/task,event_register/type,reg_individual/)

17. On the Ashes of Sykes-Picot: Turkish Foreign Policy and the Making of a New Middle East Order, Friday, April 19 / 10:00am – 11:30am, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies

Venue: Johns Hopkins SAIS – Nitze Building, 1740 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036, Room 417

Speaker: Soli Ozel

Soli Ozel, professor of international relations at Istanbul Kadir Has University and Miller Family Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School, and Emirhan Yorulmazlar (moderator), fellow at the SAIS Foreign Policy Institute, will discuss this topic.

To RSVP for the event, email: ckunkel@jhu.edu

 

Tags : , , , , , , , , ,
Tweet