Tag: Ukraine

Stevenson’s army, April 11

– Politico reports on the GOP push to attack Mexico.

– Politico profiles Elbridge Colby, the anti-neocon.

-Economist sees US-China competition in Indian Ocean

– Blowback from intell leaks: South Korea. Lots of places.

– WaPo says Egypt planned to sell arms to Russia

-Amy Zegart assesses US intelligence challenges.

Bloomberg opinion is behind a paywall, but look at these recent points.

Let Bloomberg Opinion columnist Minxin Pei — with assistance from Bloomberg’s editorial board — calibrate your concerns. The perception of China’s increasing power tends to exceed the reality of it. Here are five reasons that is true.

  1. China’s military strength is overhyped: “For all its talk about the decline of the West and rise of the East, China remains a significantly weaker power than the US on practically all fronts. What China sees as unfair practices — including US surveillance operations in international airspace and waters near the Chinese coast — are merely a manifestation of the exercise of US power in its rivalry with a weaker adversary.”
  2. On top of that, Minxin says, China talks a big game on national ambitions but can’t follow through: “In case after case, leaders in Beijing have identified top national priorities and lavished them with support. And time after time, this ‘whole-of-nation’ effort, meant to mobilize the talent and resources of a giant country, has led only to waste, graft and failure.”
  3. Bloomberg’s editorial board says Washington frets about China’s financial leverage over the US, but that’s also overhyped: “Less than 2% of US foreign direct investment is held in China, and US venture-capital companies have invested only about $60 billion in Chinese startups since 2010, compared with $1.3 trillion in the US.”
  4. The China-Russia alliance is also less than it seems, Minxin writes, adding that influence doesn’t equal leverage: “The meagerness of the economic deals signed during Xi Jingping’s visit to Moscow — which glaringly omitted the second gas pipeline from Russia to China — indicates that China is not ready to go all in, at least for now. This portends trouble” for any alliance between the two nations.
  5. And the Saudi deal was significant, but the US remains firmly in control: “Those lamenting America’s apparent loss of influence in the Middle East should know that this is one of the costs of focusing US attention and resources on the competition with China — and it’s one the US can afford to pay.”

Bonus China Reading:

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 10

It’s all about leaks:

Summary by NYT

Investigations by WSJ

– WaPo on spying on allies

-Ukrainian air defenses in danger, by NYT

Dan Drezner isn’t surprised

– Peter Baker compares leaks.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 7

– NYT reports deep conflict among House GOP, with mutual charges of incompetence.

Rigged election in Montana: GOP legislature wants one-time jungle primary to prevent Tester reelection.

– Jeff Greenfield foresees supermajority power grabs.

– Defense News reports authorizer/appropriator clash over Taiwan aid.

-Risa Brooks analyzes anti-woke campaign against Pentagon.

– Somebody leaked Ukraine arms information.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 6

Conflicts in Poland over Ukraine policies.

– Poland ready to give more MiGs.

Putin blames Ukraine war on US.

– NYT has detailed graphics on Russian offensive.

– FP details Chinese spying.

– Vox has history of US industrial policy

– Reuters says China to inspect ships in Taiwan strait.

-Israeli concerns over Milley Iran comment.

– Semafor has report on Coast Guard’s global role.

– Freedom caucus  & Progressives have some common goals.

Charlie added a Thursday bonus:

– WH has released a 12 page review of the Afghanistan withdrawal. AP summarizes.-

-FP says we need an economic war council for dealing with China.

-Lawfare praises State rules for military AI.

– FT says US opposes roadmap for Ukraine in NATO.

-Economist has fascinating story about improvements in camouflage.

– I’ve come across several Georgetown youtubes on the all-volunteer force at 50.

-Poli sci prof confirms decline in committee legislating

– Another reports benefits in grandstanding.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, April 4

– $2.6 billion more for Ukraine.

– Axios reports a new approach to Iran nukes.

– WaPo on Biden’s approach to foreign policy is consistent with my own observations.

-FA article tells of newly declassified materials on Cuban missile crisis

-Defense One has quotes from Gen Milley here and also here.

Brookings’ Sarah Binder has these suggestions for following Congress:

Sarah Binder: Want to be a Congress nerd? I start my day with Jamie Dupree’s Regular Order – an indispensable daily summary of what’s happening on Capitol Hill. Dupree has covered the Hill since 1986 and brings deep historical and institutional knowledge (and some occasional snark) to bear in explaining legislative politics. Saturday morning on the way to the farmers’ market (where fellow TMC’er Danny Hayes can be found with his cute kids in tow), I listen to David Lerman’s CQ Budget podcast. Really! It’s great! I also recommend the Congress: Two Beers In podcast, a healthy mix of legislative politics and political science. A recent episode with Dave Hopkins on changes in the Democratic and Republican parties is especially worth a listen. Finally, I love The Wire, especially for its lessons on parliamentary procedure.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, March 31

– Both Russia and Ukraine make recruiting push.

– DOD pushes back at unfunded priority lists.

-Iraqi Kurdistan is crumbling, FP says.

– Two former officials assess Israel’s problems today.

– In FA, an interesting case for security guarantees to Ukraine.

– Also in FA, an argument taking seriously Xi’s preparations for war.

– WaPo has a list of nations still recognizing Taiwan.

– Foreign Service union opposes declassifying Afghan dissent memo.

– NYT says DeSantis foreign policy adviser was a hawk.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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