Tag: negotiation

Siyasa Podcast: Episode 1: US-Iran negotiations and the region — with Vali Nasr

The first episode of podcast Siyasa, which discusses Middle East policy and politics.

Episode 1: Are both sides interested in reaching a new deal? What are the main obstacles? What do the Saudi-Iranian negotiations in Baghdad mean for the region? The podcast’s host Ibrahim Al-Assil discusses these and other questions with professor Vali Nasr.



You can also listen to the podcast on:
Spotify
Google Podcast
The podcast will be available on Apple podcast within a few days.
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Peace Picks | August 24 – August 28, 2020

Notice: Due to recent public health concerns, upcoming events are only available via live stream. 

  • Gender Equality 100 Years After the 19th Amendment | August 24, 2020 | 2:00 – 4:00 PM EDT | Brookings Institution | Register Here

    On August 26, 1920, the 19th amendment was adopted to the U.S. Constitution, granting some – though not all – American women the right to vote. 100 years later, relative equality at the ballot box has not been matched by equity in business, politics, the military, family life, and even retirement.

    On August 24, as part of 19A: The Brookings Gender Equality Series, Brookings will host a webinar to examine the state of gender equality today and what needs to be done to achieve full equality for women in our society.

    Tina Tchen, CEO of TIME’S UP Foundation and former executive director of the White House Council on Women and Girls will offer keynote remarks, followed by a conversation with Madeleine Albright, the first woman to serve as U.S. secretary of state. Susan Ware, who serves as the honorary women’s suffrage centennial historian at the Radcliffe Institute’s Schlesinger Library at Harvard, will provide a brief historical overview of the women’s suffrage movement. Then, Brookings experts Camille Busette, Elaine Kamarck, Isabel Sawhill, and Makada Henry-Nickie will convene a panel discussion to examine how gender equality has evolved since the amendment’s passage and what public reforms could address gender-based inequalities that persist today.

    Speakers:


    John R. Allen: President, Brookings Institution

    Camille Busette: Senior Fellow, Economic Studies, Governance Studies, Metropolitan Policy Program

    Tina Tchen: President & CEO, TIME’S UP Foundation

    Madeleine Albright: Chair, Albright Stonebridge Group

    Tamara Cofman Wittes: Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Center for Middle East Policy

    Susan Ware: Honorary Women’s Suffrage Centennial Historian, Schlesinger Library, Radcliffe Institute for Advanced Study, Harvard University

    Makada Henry-Nickel: Fellow, Governance Studies

    Isabel V. Sawhill: Senior Fellow, Economic Studies, Center on Children/Families, Future of the Middle Class Initiative

    Elaine Kamarck: Founding Director, Center for Effective Public Management & Senior Fellow, Governance Studies
  • Prospects for Peace in Sudan: Insights From the Armed Movements & Analysts | August 25, 2020 | 11:00 AM EDT | Atlantic Council | Register Here

    The transition to civilian rule in Sudan took place one year ago this month, and the success of that transition depends in part on the successful conclusion of an internal peace agreement between the new transitional government in Khartoum and the various armed movements across Sudan’s regions. Though progress has been made, several of the largest and most powerful groups remain outside the peace process, while many of the issues at the heart of Sudan’s difficult center-periphery dynamics have yet to be addressed. Issues of power-sharing, federalism, restitution, and the role of religion in the state all remain unresolved. Even as the talks approach a hoped-for conclusion, several of Sudan’s regions are at the same time experiencing an uptick in violence and instability, underscoring the urgency around achieving a durable peace.

    Speakers:

    General Abdelaziz al-Hilu:
    Chairman, Sudan People’s Liberation Movement – North

    Dr. Gibril Ibrahim: Chairman, Justice & Equality Movement

    Dr. Elshafie Khidiri: Sudanese Political Advisor & Commentator

    Dr. Annette Weber: Senior Fellow, German Institute for International & Security Affairs

    Mr. Cameron Hudson: Senior Fellow, Africa Center, Atlantic Council
  • A Conversation With Afghan Acting Foreign Minister Mohammed Haneef Atmar | August 27, 2020 | 9:00 – 10:00 AM EDT | United States Institute of Peace | Register Here

    Afghanistan’s peace process has faced hurdles—some familiar, some new—in recent months. There is increased hope that long-awaited negotiations between the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan and the Taliban will begin imminently. But despite recent momentum following the Eid cease-fire at the end of July and the Loya Jirga organized by President Ghani at the beginning of August, major barriers remain ahead of talks. The levels of violence against Afghan security forces and civilians remain at unsustainable levels, and continued disputes over prisoner releases may delay the process further.

    The lead up to intra-Afghan talks has made it clear that a sustainable peace in Afghanistan will require intensive international and regional support, both during negotiations and following any political settlement. Afghanistan’s acting Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mohammed Haneef Atmar, has led Afghanistan’s efforts to consolidate international support for the peace process in Afghanistan—including diverse neighbors, regional powers, and supportive western nations.

    Join USIP as we host Minister Atmar for a virtual discussion about the Afghanistan peace process as talks with the Taliban get set to begin. The foreign minister will speak about the Afghan government’s ongoing efforts for peace and stability, as well as the role of the regional and international community in supporting peace efforts.

    Speakers:

    Andrew Wilder (Moderator): Vice President, Asia Center, U.S. Institute of Peace

    H.E. Mohammed Haneef Atmar:
    Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs, Islamic Republic of Afghanistan
  • The Mental Health Costs of Displacement | August 27, 2020 | 10:00 – 11:00 AM EDT | Middle East Institute | Register Here

    In addition to economic and legal insecurity, many refugees and IDPs suffer from the immediate and long-term effects of PTSD and other mental health issues resulting from their experiences with conflict, displacement, and discrimination in their new environments. While government and NGO initiatives exist in Jordan, Iraq, and other host countries to promote mental health awareness and services in refugee communities, these resources are insufficient to address this dire need.

    How can aid and development programs prioritize mental health as a key component of refugee support? What are the gaps in the regional mental health systems that must be bridged in order to serve refugee communities? What initiatives exist to empower refugee communities at the grassroots level to advocate for mental health services?

    Speakers:

    Amira Roess (Moderator): Non-Resident Scholar, Middle East Institute

    Essam Daoud: Co-Founder & Director, Humanity Crew

    Mohammad Abo-Hilal: Founder, Syria Bright Future
  • Palestine & the Arab World: A Relationship in Crisis? | August 27, 2020 | 4:00 – 5:15 PM AST | Brookings Institution | Register Here

    For more than sixty years, the centrality of the Palestinian cause to the Arab world was without dispute, capturing the hearts and minds of people throughout the region and commanding the support of their governments. Today, however, this position has eroded and more Arab countries are pursuing enhanced relations with Israel despite its continued occupation and settlement of Palestine. This month, the United Arab Emirates announced it would establish official ties with Israel, and other countries are reportedly considering following suit. These developments beg the question: What has happened to Palestine’s place in the region and its relationships to regional allies?

    The Brookings Doha Center invites you to attend a webinar on Palestine and the Arab world, which will consider the current state of relations and what it means for the Palestinian liberation movement today and in the future. The discussion will address questions such as: How and why have relations arrived at this point? How has Palestine’s diplomacy evolved and how adeptly has its leadership navigated the changing geopolitics of the region? What roles have been played by other countries—such as Egypt, Jordan, and the United States—and by the Palestinian diaspora? And what will the end of Oslo and the possibility of Israeli annexation mean for the region’s future?

    Speakers:

    Omar H. Rahman (Moderator): Visiting Fellow, Brookings Doha Center

    Nour Odeh: Political Analyst & Public Diplomacy Consultant

    Shibley Telhami: Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Center for Middle East Policy, U.S. Relations With the Arab World
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Charade

President Trump claims to have cancelled a “summit” at Camp David next weekend with the Taliban, in response to an attack in Kabul that killed one American soldier. That’s unlikely to be the real story. There is no indication that the Taliban, who have refused to accept a ceasefire during the negotiations with the United States, had agreed to the meeting. As Barney Rubin, who knows Afghanistan as well as any American, put it on Twitter:

My tentative suggestions: whatever just happened, it’s about Trump, not Afghanistan. He wanted a photo op and a high-ratings TV show, and when it didn’t work out, he canceled it.

There are a few lessons here:

  1. A ceasefire during negotiations is important. I doubt it was wise to talk with the Taliban without one.
  2. Trump’s need for personal involvement is a hindrance, not a help to negotiations. We’ve seen this in both Afghanistan and North Korea.
  3. If the Taliban will agree, as Kim Jong-un did, Trump may turn the meeting on again as suddenly as he turned it off.
  4. Trump has repeatedly telegraphed his desperate political need to remove a big slice of US troops from Afghanistan before the US election. The Taliban need do nothing to get a part of what they want.
  5. In the end, it’s all about TV for Trump. He doesn’t give a hoot about Afghanistan or the US soldiers killed there.

The guy at real risk these days is Afghanistan President Ghani. The Americans were about to conclude an agreement with the Taliban from which he was excluded and after which he was expected to reach some sort of powersharing agreement with them. Collapse of the negotiations may make that unnecessary, but the US withdrawal is likely to take place anyway. Ghani needs to figure out how he can survive in a military situation that is already tilting heavily against him.

Trump is a master of creating impressions that are far from reality and sticking with them despite the facts. His “cancellation” of a non-existent meeting is a fine example, much more credible than his prediction of Dorian’s storm track. But every example of this showmanship undermines US credibility abroad, even if 40% of the American people seem to be ready to swallow the charade.

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