Here is the concluding paragraph of my piece published by the Middle East Institute Friday:
Thus the current insurgency may look as if it has Maliki cornered, but the long-term strategic balance is still with the Shi’a for geographical, demographic, and resource reasons. Sunnistan is neither a viable state nor a unified one. When the money ISIS seized in Mosul starts to run out, the thieves will quarrel with their comrades in arms. Sunnistan will not want to stay in an unhappy marriage, but it won’t be able to leave, either. Whether Maliki stays or goes, the Sunni insurgency is doomed.
Surrender of the strait to Iran and retreat from the Middle East will weaken the…
The Iranians will try to impose unilaterally a permanent toll on passage through the strait…
Trump is in peril of losing all but his most loyal voters. No wonder he…
Trump is stuck in a war of his own making. But it is the rest…
Trump wants to pull the plug. The Israelis don't. And the Iranians are demanding outcomes…
A year from now, we are likely to be remembering a highly effective military operation…