Day: August 10, 2020

Peace Picks | August 10 – August 14

Notice: Due to recent public health concerns, upcoming events are only available via live stream. 

  • Breakthrough in Belarus: A Democratic Opening | August 11, 2020 | 10:00 AM EST | Atlantic Council | Register Here

    After months of protests, Belarusians cast their votes on August 9 for the presidential election. The five-term president of Belarus, Alyaksandr Lukashenka, faces the most severe threat to his regime since he took power more than a quarter century ago. For months, protests erupted after opposition candidates were either imprisoned or disqualified. Undeterred by mass arrests and fines, opposition forces rallied against Lukashenka’s government and the immediate election results. Government-sponsored exit polls showing that President Lukashenka won 80 percent of the vote face broad claims of election fraud, triggering further protests and a heavy police crackdown.

    The situation is further complicated by the arrest of alleged Russian operatives in Minsk, sparking wild speculation of foreign intervention. Will claims of interference by Lukashenka succeed in distracting the public, or will he use them as a pretext for a crackdown? Will the outcome of the election change Belarus’ politics? How will the results affect Belarus’ relations with Europe, Russia, and the United States? Can popular will bring about a genuinely democratic transition in spite of government crackdowns on dissent and free information?

    Speakers:

    Christian Caryl (Moderator): Editor, Washington Post

    Konstantin Eggert: Columnist, Deutsche Welle

    Natalia Kaliada: Co-Founding Artistic Director & CEO, Belarus Free Theatre

    Hanna Liubakova: Journalist, Outriders

    Franak Viacorka:
    Vice President, Digital Communications Network
  • Lebanon After the Explosion | August 11, 2020 | 10:00 – 11:00 AM EST | Carnegie Endowment | Register Here

    A massive explosion in Beirut shattered glass miles away, killing more than 100, wounding thousands, and leaving hundreds of thousands homeless. Now Lebanon finds itself in a severe political, economic, and humanitarian crisis. How can the people of Beirut rebuild their lives while still sheltering from a global pandemic? What are the immediate political and economic implications of this pivotal moment in Lebanese history, and what political change is necessary for true recovery to be possible?

    Speakers:

    Kim Ghattas: Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment

    Maha Yahya: Director, Carnegie Middle East Center

    Paul Salem: President, Middle East Institute

    Ishac Diwan: Chaire d’Excellence, Université Paris Science et Lettres
  • President Tsai Ing-wen Discusses the Diplomatic, Security, and Economic Challenges Facing Taiwan | August 12, 2020 | 9:00 – 10:00 AM EST | Hudson Institute & Center for American Progress | Register Here

    Join Hudson Institute and Center for American Progress for an address by Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen followed by a discussion with Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office Representative Bi-khim Hsiao, Hudson Senior Fellow Seth Cropsey, and Center for American Progress Vice President Kelly Magsamen.

    In January of this year, President Tsai won reelection to a second term. Since then, Taiwan has controlled the spread of its coronavirus outbreak, assisted other countries in combatting the pandemic, and faced increasing aggression from the Chinese Communist Party.

    President Tsai will discuss these developments and the security, diplomatic, and economic challenges that face Taiwan in her second term. The conversation following President Tsai’s remarks will incorporate themes from her speech and address current U.S. policy and assistance toward Taiwan.

    Speakers:

    President Tsai Ing-wen: President, Republic of China (Taiwan)

    Bi-khim Hsiao: Representative, Taipei Economic & Cultural Office in the U.S.

    Seth Cropsey: Director, Center for American Seapower, Hudson Institute

    Kelly Magsamen: Vice President, National Security & International Policy, Center for American Progress

    Neera Tanden: President & CEO, Center for American Progress

    John Walters: COO, Hudson Institute
  • How ISIS Really Ends: The Road to Violent Extremist Disengagement & Reconciliation | August 12, 2020 | 10:00 AM – 12:00 PM EST | United States Institute of Peace | Register Here

    ISIS remains a threat to regional and global security despite its territorial defeat in March 2019. The enduring defeat of ISIS will require more work to address the aftermath of conflict and to rebuild the region’s social fabric to enable people to move forward sustainably and peacefully. Of immediate concern is what to do with former ISIS combatants and their families, and the massive needs for disengagement, repatriation, and reintegration.

    With thousands of former ISIS combatants from over 50 countries detained in prisons across Syria and Iraq and countless women and children in displacement camps—with nearly 70,000 in al Hol alone—countries worldwide face the difficult task of what to do with these individuals and how best to prevent future security challenges.

    Meanwhile, the global COVID-19 pandemic is impacting the health and safety of those in the prisons and camps, as well as the ability of foreign governments, humanitarian organizations, and camp and prison administrations to continue operations. ISIS adherents have capitalized on this disruption by staging prison breakouts. This combination of stresses provides for an especially complicated set of tasks for governments, local communities, and the international community.

    Speakers:

    Nancy Lindborg (Moderator): President & CEO, U.S. Institute of Peace

    Leanne Erdberg Steadman (Moderator): Director of Countering Violent Extremism, U.S. Institute of Peace

    Amb. William “Bill” Roebuck: Deputy Special Envoy to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS; Senior Advisor to the Special Representative for Syria Engagement

    Philippa Candler: Acting UNHCR Representative, Iraq

    Maj. Gen. Alexus G. Grynkewich: Director of Operations, U.S. Central Command

    Azadeh Moaveni: Project Director, Gender, International Crisis Group

    Gen. Kenneth F. McKenzie Jr.: Commander, U.S. Central Command
  • Gen. John E. Hyten on Progress & Challenges Implementing the National Defense Strategy | August 12, 2020 | 12:00 – 12:45 PM EST | Hudson Institute | Register Here

    Join Hudson Institute for a discussion with Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General John E. Hyten on the Department of Defense’s progress in implementing the National Defense Strategy and remaining challenges. Hudson Senior Fellow Rebeccah L. Heinrichs will moderate the discussion.

    Amid an ongoing pandemic, the United States is faced with a broad ranges of security challenges. Responding to the long-term threat posed by China and Russia continues to be the greatest animating force of U.S. defense policy. However, the U.S. faces other serious threats from terrorist groups and rogue states like North Korea and Iran.

    General Hyten will describe how the National Defense Strategy is guiding major power competition and working to mitigate and defeat lesser threats.

    How has the strategy affected force size, strategy, and deployments? What role do alliances play in achieving the priorities laid out in the national defense strategy? Are we moving at the right speed to develop and produce at scale the kinds of weapon systems we need?

    General Hyten will answer these and other questions as he outlines accomplishments and the remaining work ahead.

    Speakers:

    Gen. John E. Hyten: Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Rebeccah L. Heinrichs: Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute
  • Drug Trafficking and Use in Libya & North Africa | August 14, 2020 | 10:00 – 11:00 AM EST | United States Institute of Peace | Register Here

    The trafficking and consumption of illicit drugs both within and through Libya are often overlooked as factors in the country’s fragile situation. But the dynamics of illicit drug trading and use in Libya are just one manifestation of the rising drug challenge faced by North African states. Production, trafficking, and consumption are increasing and transforming across the region, posing a rising challenge to stability, security, and public health in Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, and Libya.

    Join USIP and the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime (GI-TOC) for a presentation of recently published research on drug issues in the region. USIP experts will discuss their research on drug trafficking and consumption in Libya, while GI-TOC experts will analyze trends in the Maghreb as a whole. The event will bring together policymakers and practitioners to explore the dynamics of these issue areas and what can be done to deal with the harmful effects while mitigating harm to communities.

    Speakers:

    Nate Wilson (Moderator): Libya Country Manager, U.S. Institute of Peace
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Stevenson’s army, August 10

– Senators Cruz and Rubio among those newly sanctioned by China.
– SecDef Esper says US troop numbers in Afghanistan will be below 5,000 by November.
– Lawfare writer says use of IEEPA for TikTok stretches law to breaking point.
– Dan Drezner sees world collapsing around Mike Pompeo.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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