Day: March 22, 2021
Stevenson’s army, March 22
Military cooperation with India. Unless they buy Russia air defense.
US-Chinese cooperation on climate, despite Anchorage nastiness.
Limits on US operations in East Africa.
I’ve now read Adam Jentleson’s Kill Switch, a strong attack on the filibuster. Some of you recommended it, and I also urge that. It certainly shows that filibusters mainly stopped good laws and was rooted in white supremacy. But it also shows that overuse of the filibuster coincided with growing partisanship and uncertainties over control of the Senate. Jentleson, who worked for Sen. Harry Reid [D-Nevada], even reports that Reid deliberately started filling the amendment tree before the Republicans did. That action triggered GOP abuse of the filibuster. Both sides to blame. Ruth Marcus wrote a column this weekend supporting the filibuster on progressive grounds.
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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Peace Picks | March 21 – March 25, 2021
Notice: Due to public health concerns, upcoming events are only available via live stream
1. Defense Project Series: Ending the War in Afghanistan- a discussion with counter-terror expert David Kilcullen | March 22, 2021 | 3:00 PM – 4:00 PM ET | Belfer Center | Register Here
Speakers
Dave Kilcullen: Lieutenant Colonel, Australian Army Reserves
Dave Kilcullen, strategist/scholar/author, discusses the war in Afghanistan, the Taliban and ISIS, and how the United States and its allies might help Afghanistan forge a future of hope and promise vice a return to the dark days of the 1990s. With the agreed deadline for American withdrawal from Afghanistan looming on 1 May and Taliban attacks ramping up, President Biden is faced with a difficult policy decision to stay in the war or leave. Join Bill Rapp as he moderates this important discussion with the famed counter-terror expert.
2. Iraqi diaspora mobilization and the future development of Iraq | March 22, 2021 | 10:00 AM – 11:00 AM ET | Atlantic Center | Register Here
Speakers
Amb. Feisal Al-Istrabadi: Founding Director, Center for the Study of the Middle East
Dr. Abbas Kadhim: Director, Iraq Initiative, Atlantic Council
Dr. Oula Kadhum: Postdoctoral Research Fellow, University of Birmingham
Dr. Marsin Alshamary (moderator): Postdoctoral Research Fellow, The Brookings Institute
The Atlantic Council hosts a discussion surrounding the upcoming report, Iraqi Diaspora Mobilization and the Future Development of Iraq. Authored by Dr. Oula Kadhum, postdoctoral research fellow at the University of Birmingham, the paper explores Iraqi diaspora mobilization before and after the 2003 invasion and fall of the regime of Saddam Hussein, looking at ways in which members of the diaspora have sought to help in the rebuilding of their country of origin, at both the elite and grassroots levels, as well as investigating changes over time. The discussion will touch on the paper’s key recommendations, considering the obstacles that have hindered diaspora mobilization, beyond the ethno-sectarian system.
3. The Politics of Mass Violence in the Middle East | March 22, 2021 | 4:00 PM – 5:00 PM ET | Wilson Center | Register Here
Speakers
Laura Robson: Professor of History, Penn State University
Laila Parsons: McGill University
Ussama Makdisi: Rice University
Christian F. Ostermann (moderator): Director, History and Public Policy Program, Wilson Center
Eric Arnesen (moderator): Professor of History, The George Washington University
4. In a Consequential Year for Iraq, What’s Next? | March 23, 2021 | 9:00 AM – 10:00 AM ET | United States Institute of Peace | Register Here
Speakers
Lise Grande: President and CEO, U.S. Institute of Peace
Ambassador Matthew Tueller: Ambassador of the United States to Iraq
Ambassador Fareed Yasseen: Ambassador of Iraq to the United States
Bayan Sami Abdul Rahman: Kurdistan Regional Government Representative to the United States
Sarhang Hamasaeed (moderator): Director, Middle East Programs, U.S. Institute of Peace
As Iraq marks the 18th anniversary of the 2003 U.S.-led war that set in motion consequential changes, the country is eyeing what a Biden administration might bring while the country prepares for national elections in October. Meanwhile, His Holiness Pope Francis made a historic visit to Iraq earlier this month and injected much needed messages of hope, coexistence, and peace into an environment dominated by frustrations with the pandemic and its financial consequences, public grievances with governance, continued U.S.-Iran tensions and attacks on coalition forces, and the ongoing threat of ISIS. Join USIP for a discussion of key developments in Iraq and the outlook for U.S.-Iraq relations under the Biden administration. The panel will share their insights on the Pope’s first-ever visit to Iraq, examine the country’s current challenges, and explore areas where policymakers and the international community can support Iraq.
5. Women’s gains in Afghanistan: Leadership and peace | March 23, 2021 | 12:00 PM – 1:00 PM ET | Atlantic Council | Register Here
Speakers
Minister Hasina Safi: Acting Minister for Women’s Affairs, Government of Afghanistan
Fatima Gailani: Member, Afghan Negotiating Team
Lt. Colonel Natalie Trogus: Former Advisor, Afghan Ministry of Defense
Ambassador Paula Dobriansky (moderator): Vice Chair, Scowcroft Center for Strategy & Security, Atlantic Council
For Afghanistan to rebuild and for peace to be sustainable, the country will require a diversity of ideas, experiences, leadership, and action — from all of its people — to move forward. Such progress is impossible without the dedicated, long-term involvement of women, which allows for shifts in both long-held beliefs and practices, including those of the Taliban. This will ultimately allow peace to be not only enduring, but create a shared vision of Afghanistan’s future that puts Afghan women at the center. Join the Atlantic Council for a conversation on how Afghan women and their US partners have worked to improve women’s leadership opportunities in Afghanistan, what these improvements mean for Afghan women, and the critical role women play in Afghanistan’s aspirations for long-term peace.
6. Africa’s Global Reset: Foreign Relations in a Post-Pandemic Era | March 23, 2021 | 9:00 AM – 10:00 AM ET | CSIS | Register Here
Speakers
Andrew Alli: Partner and Group CEO, SouthBridge; former CEO of Africa Finance Corporation
Akunna Cook: Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of African Affairs, U.S. Department of State
Bogolo Kenewendo: Former Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry of Botswana; Non-Resident Fellow, Center for Global Development
Ambassador Koji Yonetani: Assistant Minister for African Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Japan
Judd Devermont (moderator): Director, Africa Program
The Covid-19 pandemic is dramatically changing relationships between African governments and external partners, creating opportunities for a reset in relations and a recommitment to strategic issues. Longstanding grievances stemming from African countries’ status in international affairs, racism against their citizens abroad, and the zero-sum premise of global power competition have reached a boiling point. The pandemic is prompting regional governments to demand more equitable vaccine distribution, debt relief, and targeted investment in key economic sectors. It’s time to pause and identify the trends reshaping the region as well as implications for African governments and their foreign partners. Join the CSIS Africa Program on March 23, 2021, for a virtual livestream event examining the state of Africa’s foreign ties and key strategic issues to watch for, including Covid-19 recovery, debt relief, anti-discrimination, democratization, and climate change.
7. Anti-Coercion Instrument: How can Europe best protect itself from economic coercion? | March 23, 2021 | 8:00 AM – 9:00 AM | European Council on Foreign Relations | Register Here
Speakers
Colin Brown: Head of Unit, Legal Affairs/Dispute settlement (trade, sustainable development and investment), European Commission
Sven Simon: MEP; Member of International Trade Committee, European Parliament
Marie-Pierre Vedrenne: MEP; Vice-Chair of International Trade Committee, European Parliament
Jonathan Hackenbroich (moderator): Head of Task Force for Strengthening Europe against Economic Coercion, ECFR
The European Council on Foreign Relations is delighted to invite you to our webinar on how Europe can strengthen itself against economic coercion. Powerful countries revert to economic blackmail to change European foreign, economic, or financial policy. China has threatened Germany and Sweden with dire economic consequences over excluding Huawei from their 5G networks. Russia is looking into expanding its sanction toolkit. Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan called for boycotting French products over a speech by Emmanuel Macron. Under Donald Trump, the US used various measures of economic coercion, even directly against allies. Now, Europe needs to rebuild strong transatlantic relations especially around economic statecraft.
8. Unmasking Influence Operators: What Are Best Practices for Attribution? | March 25, 2021 | 10:00 AM – 11:00 AM ET | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace | Register Here
Speakers
Marianna Spring: Disinformation and social media reporter, BBC
Elise Thomas: OSINT analyst, the Institute for Strategic Dialogue
Emerson T. Brooking: Resident senior fellow, Digital Forensic Lab, Atlantic Council
Olgo Belogolova: Policy manager for influence operations, Facebook
A growing community of researchers are investigating influence operations, but research standards for conducting investigations are not widely shared. This event will explore one of the thorniest investigative challenges – identifying who is behind an influence operation.
9. Defending democracy against its adversaries | March 26, 2021 | 11:00 AM – 1:00 PM ET | Brookings Institution | Register Here
Speakers
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya: Leader of Democratic Belarus
Bob Dean: Senior research fellow, Clingendael Institute
Kara McDonald: Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, US Department of State
Gerard Steeghs: Director, Multilateral Organizations and Human Rights, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Kingdom of the Netherlands
Thomas Wright: Director, Center on the US and Europe, Brookings Institution
Constanze Stellenmüller (moderator): Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Brookings Institution
Liberal democracy — representation, the rule of law, and human rights — is the foundation of the trans-Atlantic alliance and a rules-based international order. The Biden administration has placed democracy at the heart of its policy agenda; in the words of its March 2021 Interim National Security Strategic Guidance, “Democracy is essential to meeting all the challenges of our changing world.” Yet democracy is under threat worldwide from populists and rising authoritarian powers. Still, civil societies continue to fight for their rights. In Belarus, a pro-democracy movement led by teacher-turned-presidential-candidate Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya is bravely protesting the fraudulent August 2020 election, despite violent repression by the government of Alexander Lukashenko. Brookings will host Tsikhanouskaya for a keynote address that examines democracy and human rights in Belarus.
10. ‘The Last Shah’: A book event with Ray Takeyh | March 26, 2021 | 10:00 AM – 11:00 AM ET | American Enterprise Institute | Register Here
Speakers
Ray Takeyh: Hasib J. Sabbagh Senior Fellow for Middle East Studies, Council on Foreign Relations
Eric Edelman: Counselor, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments
Kenneth M. Pollack: Resident Scholar, AEI
Colin Dueck (moderator): Visiting Scholar, AEI
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